Future Imperfect
I am bombarded by predictions from smart, knowledgeable, and convincing people. Each prediction sounds plausible to me, at least in the moment. Some of the predictions are exciting, but most are scary.
Look — people are wrong all the time, and sometimes they know it.
This is my small attempt to stand up to predictions by keeping track of them.
3 predictions found

AI will independently solve business problems by 2026!
Sam Altman
Prediction Date:
2025-06-03
Target Date:
2027-01-01
ai
automation
business
technology
pending

The first billion-dollar solopreneur will emerge by 2026!
Dario Amodei
Prediction Date:
2025-05-23
Target Date:
2027-01-01
ai
business
entrepreneurship
future of work
pending

China will collapse within a decade!
Peter Zeihan
Prediction Date:
2010-01-22
Target Date:
2020-01-01
geopolitics
china
collapse
economics
incorrect